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2010 Florida gubernatorial election

Adapted from Wikipedia ยท Discoverer experience

A chart showing election polling trends in Florida from 2010.

The 2010 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. It was a big and close race to choose the next Governor of Florida. The person who was governor before, Charlie Crist, decided not to run again for governor and instead tried to win a seat in the Senate. This meant there was an open race for governor.

In the end, Republican Rick Scott won the election by a very small margin against Democrat Alex Sink. Even though many people did not think very highly of him, Rick Scott was helped by a big win for Republicans all across the country during that time, called the midterm GOP wave.

The election was also influenced by a group of people known as the Tea Party, who supported Scott. He also talked a lot about being against a new health care law called the Affordable Care Act, and many voters agreed with him on that issue. This election was important because it was the first time since 1982 that the winner of the governor race was from the same political party as the winner of the United States Senate election happening at the same time.

Primary Elections

Democratic

Alex Sink, who was the Chief Financial Officer of Florida, decided to run for governor. She was the main candidate because she was the only Democrat holding a statewide office at the time. Her only opponent was Brian Moore, who did not get much support. Sink won the Democratic nomination with most of the votes.

Republican

When Charlie Crist decided not to run for re-election, many Republicans wanted to run. Bill McCollum, the Florida Attorney General, was the early favorite. But then Rick Scott, a businessman, joined the race. Scott spent a lot of his own money and talked about creating jobs and cutting taxes. The competition became very tough, with both sides making strong claims against each other. In the end, Scott won the Republican nomination with just over half of the votes.

General Election

Candidates

The main candidates were:

  • Rick Scott, a healthcare executive from the Republican Party
  • Alex Sink, the Chief Financial Officer of Florida from the Democratic Party

There were also several other candidates from smaller parties and no party affiliation.

Campaign

The race was mainly between Rick Scott and Alex Sink. By the final debate on October 25, 2010, Scott had spent $60 million of his own money, while Sink had spent $28 million. In total, more than $100 million was spent, which was more than any previous Florida governor's race.

During one debate, Sink received a text message during a commercial break, which broke the debate rules. This mistake was widely criticized.

Polling for the 2010 Florida Gubernatorial Election

Predictions

Polling

Democratic primary

List of Democratic primary polling numbers

Republican primary

List of Republican primary polling numbers

General election

Hypothetical Polls

Results

The 2010 election was very close, with Rick Scott winning by just over 60,000 votes. The results were uncertain for a time, but Scott stayed ahead and Alex Sink conceded the next day. Exit polls showed Scott won among independent voters.

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportTossupOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergTossupOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsTossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallLean R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsTossupOctober 28, 2010
Poll sourceDates administeredAlex SinkMichael E. Arth
Mason DixonJune 24โ€“26, 200949%4%
Poll sourceDates administeredBill McCollumRick ScottPaula Dockery
QuinnipiacAugust 21โ€“22, 201039%35%โ€“
Public Policy PollingAugust 21โ€“22, 201040%47%โ€“
Mason-DixonAugust 17โ€“19, 201045%36%โ€“
QuinnipiacAugust 11โ€“16, 201044%35%โ€“
Sunshine State NewsAugust 12โ€“15, 201042%44%โ€“
Mason DixonAugust 9โ€“11, 201034%30%โ€“
Ipsos/Florida NewspapersAugust 6โ€“10, 201032%42%โ€“
Mason DixonAugust 2โ€“4, 201031%37%โ€“
The Florida PollJuly 24โ€“28, 201025%41%โ€“
QuinnipiacJuly 22โ€“27, 201032%43%โ€“
Public Policy PollingJuly 16โ€“18, 201029%43%โ€“
Florida Chamber of CommerceJune 9โ€“13, 201030%35%โ€“
QuinnipiacJune 2โ€“8, 201031%44%โ€“
Mason-DixonMay 3โ€“5, 201038%24%7%
Research 2000November 16โ€“18, 200945%โ€“9%
Strategic VisionMay 29โ€“31, 200944%โ€“28%
Poll sourceDates administeredBud Chiles (I)Rick Scott (R)Alex Sink (D)
Mason-DixonMay 3โ€“5, 2010โ€”36%38%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 16, 2010โ€”41%40%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 7, 2010โ€”45%40%
QuinnipiacJune 7, 201013%35%26%
Florida Chamber of CommerceJune 9โ€“13, 201015%31%26%
Ipsos/ReutersJuly 9โ€“11, 201012%34%31%
Public Policy PollingJuly 16โ€“18, 201013%30%36%
QuinnipiacJuly 22โ€“27, 201014%29%27%
The Florida PollJuly 24โ€“28, 201011%30%28%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 2, 201016%35%31%
Ipsos/Florida NewspapersAugust 6โ€“10, 201014%30%29%
Mason-DixonAugust 9โ€“11, 201017%24%40%
QuinnipiacAugust 11โ€“16, 201012%29%33%
Public Policy PollingAugust 21โ€“22, 20108%34%41%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 25, 20104%45%42%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 1, 2010โ€”45%44%
Sunshine State NewsSeptember 1โ€“7, 201042%44%
CNNSeptember 2โ€“7, 201042%49%
FOX NewsSeptember 11, 201041%49%
Reuters/IpsosSeptember 12, 201045%47%
Mason-DixonSeptember 20โ€“22, 201040%47%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 22, 201050%44%
QuinnipiacSeptember 23โ€“28, 201049%43%
CNNSeptember 24โ€“28, 201047%45%
Sunshine State NewsSeptember 26 โ€“ October 3, 201044%42%
TCPalm.com /ZogbySeptember 27โ€“29, 201039%41%
Florida Chamber of CommerceSeptember 27โ€“30, 201046%42%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 30, 201046%41%
Mason-DixonOctober 4โ€“6, 201040%44%
Miami-Dade CollegeOctober 5, 201052%46%
QuinnipiacOctober 6โ€“8, 201045%44%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 7, 201050%47%
PPPOctober 9โ€“10, 201041%46%
SusquehannaOctober 12โ€“13, 201045%48%
SuffolkOctober 14โ€“17, 201038%45%
CNN Opinion ResearchOctober 15โ€“19, 201049%46%
Ipsos/St. Pete TimesOctober 15โ€“19, 201044%41%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 18, 201050%44%
Naples Daily News /ZogbyOctober 18โ€“21, 201039%43%
QuinnipiacOctober 18โ€“24, 201041%45%
SusquehannaOctober 20, 201045%45%
Susquehanna/Sunshine State NewsOctober 24โ€“25, 201047%45%
Univ. of South Fla. PolytechnicOctober 23โ€“27, 201044%39%
QuinnipiacOctober 25โ€“31, 201043%44%
Mason-DixonOctober 26โ€“27, 201043%46%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 27, 201048%45%
Susquehanna/Sunshine StateOctober 29โ€“31, 201046%49%
Public Policy PollingOctober 30โ€“31, 201047%48%
Poll sourceDates administeredBill McCollumAlex SinkBud Chiles
QuinnipiacAugust 11โ€“16, 201029%31%12%
Mason-DixonAugust 9โ€“11, 201035%37%13%
Ipsos/Florida NewspapersAugust 6โ€“10, 201026%30%12%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 2, 201027%31%20%
The Florida PollJuly 24โ€“28, 201026%27%12%
QuinnipiacJuly 22โ€“27, 201027%26%14%
Public Policy PollingJuly 16โ€“18, 201023%37%14%
Ipsos/ReutersJuly 9โ€“11, 201030%31%12%
Florida Chamber of CommerceJune 9โ€“13, 201030%26%15%
QuinnipiacJune 7, 201033%25%19%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 7, 201040%38%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsMay 16, 201043%35%โ€”
Mason-DixonMay 7, 201045%36%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 18, 201047%36%โ€”
Public Policy PollingMarch 5โ€“8, 201044%31%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 18, 201048%35%โ€”
Fabrizo/McLaughlin & AssociatesJanuary 31, 201041%32%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 27, 201046%35%โ€”
QuinnipiacJanuary 27, 201041%31%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 14, 200944%39%โ€”
Research 2000November 16โ€“18, 200935%33%โ€”
St. Pete Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9October 25โ€“28, 200937%38%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20, 200946%35%โ€”
QuinnipiacAugust 19, 200938%34%1%
Public Opinion StrategiesAugust 4โ€“5, 200948%37%โ€”
Rasmussen ReportsJune 22, 200942%34%โ€”
QuinnipiacJune 2โ€“7, 200934%38%1%
Mason DixonMay 14โ€“18, 200940%34%โ€”
Mason DixonMarch 30 โ€“ April 1, 200936%35%โ€”

Images

Official portrait of Florida Governor Rick Scott.
Official portrait of Alex Sink, Florida Chief Financial Officer

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